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Freddy Wills |
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| BRACKET BUSTER PACKAGES AVAILABLE - $49.95 3 DAYS ACTION NBA + NCAAB W/ a Guarantee. All picks come with an in depth analysis! |
| Published Hot Streaks |
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• Basketball Top Plays (+648) 22-14 L36 61% • All Sports Top Plays (+533) 22-15 L37 59% • NCAA-B Plays (+459) 10-5 L15 67% |
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| Last 7 days | Units | ROI | Pct | WL |
| Overall Picks | +592.0 units | +36.0% | 71% | 10-4 |
| ATS Picks | +372.0 units | +26.5% | 67% | 8-4 |
| Moneyline Picks | +220.0 units | +91.7% | 100% | 2-0 |
| Top Play Picks | +195.0 units | +20.2% | 63% | 5-3 |
| Last 30 days | Units | ROI | Pct | WL |
| Top Play Picks | +523.0 units | +11.7% | 59% | 23-16 |
| Moneyline Picks | +53.0 units | +8.4% | 60% | 3-2 |
| Last 60 days | Units | ROI | Pct | WL |
| Top Play Picks | +917.0 units | +8.8% | 57% | 52-39 |
| ATS Picks | +664.0 units | +4.1% | 54% | 78-66 |
| Overall Picks | +404.0 units | +2.2% | 53% | 89-78 |
| O/U Picks | +75.0 units | +7.6% | 56% | 5-4 |
| YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NCAA-B | Feb 22, 2012 Tulane vs. Southern Methodist |
Southern Methodist -140 at 5DIMES |
Won $100 |
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SMU -135 3* play Tulane and SMU fighting to stay out of the conference basement. SMU lost at Tulane so a nice revenge spot here for them. IN that game they were -21 free throw attempts and lost because of it. That was uncharacteristic of them considering they are ranked 46th in FTA allowed only allowing 16.8 but they allowed 32. SMU showed it could score in that game shooting 57% as Tulane just does not have a very good defense and it’s probably the reason they are 0-6 in conference play on the road. Also -7.5 FTA on the road than home and -3.2 turnovers forced on the road compared to home. Those were two key ingredients why they won the game 80-74 that will not happen tonight. SMU struggled lately to score points, but they used their bench more in the 2nd half against Marshall and it provided a spark in an up-tempo approach leading to 54 points. I expect the same thing tonight as they try to get out of the basement. Tulane’s lone wins on the road came to Texas American and Navy. |
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NCAA-B | Feb 22, 2012 Dayton vs. Duquesne |
Dayton +3½-103 at 5DIMES |
Won $100 |
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Dayton +3 4.4* POD & Dayton +150 1* play Both Dayton and Duquesne are tied in the Atlantic for 8th place which is key considering the top 8 get a home court game in the conference tournament. It’s clear Dayton is capable of going on a run and winning the Atlantic 10. They have wins over Xavier, St. Louis, Temple and La Salle where Duquesne has lost to all of those teams. Dayton comes off a road loss at Xavier in OT where they have not won since 1981 27 straight games but a 3 point loss shows this team is motivated and focused down the stretch. Against Duquesne they’ll have serious revenge after losing at home. To me this comes down to 3point offense and defense because Dayton is better in just about every other category. In that game Dayton allowed 52% from 3 on 12-23 shooting while they shot just 5 for 18. On the season both teams shoot 34% and Dayton has the better 3 point defense by 1.7%. I’ll be shocked if Duquesne comes close to replicating that performance. Dayton has a ton more length than Duquesne does inside and out they don’t have a single player under 6 feet. There is a reason why they are ranked 68th in rebound % in the nation to Duquesne 332nd. This team is also not short on shooting as they are ranked 7th in FT% at 76.8% a huge advantage over Duquesne ranked 271st at 66%. The only 2 guys that Duquesne have over 6-7 average 15 min combined while Dayton has 3 guys even without Benson that are 6-9 playing significant minutes. I think Kavanaugh will have the biggest advantage tonight as Dayton wins this game. |
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NCAA-B | Feb 22, 2012 South Florida vs. Syracuse |
South Florida +14-110 at BETUS |
Won $100 |
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S. Florida +14.5 1.1* Free Play South Florida still fighting for their lives for a NCAA tourney bid despite being 10-4 in conference play. For them it’s all about defense and I think they match up extremely well vs. Syracuse another team that will play defense. To me this is all about South Florida needing the game more and Syracuse looking down the road to their biggest rival in the conference in Connecticut on Saturday. South Florida’s defense is the real deal holding opponents on the road to under 40%. It’s not like Syracuse is that great offensively and I see South Florida being able to turn this into a half court game which will keep them in striking distance. |
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SERVICE BIO |
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| I have been wagering on sports for eight years now. I am a former division II athlete with an undergrad in Sports Management and Masters in Business Administration. This is my real job, I claim it on my tax return. In January of 2009 I started Sports Bet Capping I use a betting philosophy that is backed by betting on an underdog that has a legitimate shot at winning the game outright. Although this varies from sport to sport. I never force plays and always give you a written analysis. All of my plays must meet a certain number of requirements before I considers them as a release. This includes my free pick releases. I use a variety of factors in my betting philosophy, such as statistical software, trend analysis, public betting %'s and other emotional advantages. This is the same strategy I used to win 64% of my College Football games in 2008. Some of you may know me as fritz218 on Covers where this record was clearly documented in the forums. Lastly, you must know that I bet on all of the games I recommend. When you lose I lose, something I do not take lightly. I am as competitive and determined as anyone you will meet which is why I have found success in this industry. |
